Sunday, June 3, 2012

Fantasy Today: June 3rd

We are starting a new feature on the Random Musings blog.  It will not be very random because it will be a daily entry.  We will look at fantasy sports from a daily perspective: the games last night, the games tonight, and the news along the way.  As we settle in and find our rhythm, we'll add new features.  Please send your feedback in the Comments section below on the day in fantasy, what you like or don't like about the column, and any ideas for new features on the blog.

So, let's get started:

YESTERDAY'S BEST (June 2nd)
HITTERS
3B Miguel Cabrera DET (vs NYY): 3-4, 2 HR (11), 2 RBI (44), 2 R (31) (14 pts)
3B Hanley Ramirez MIA (at PHL): 2-4, 2 HR (10), 3 RBI (36), 2 R (32) (13 pts)
CF Drew Stubbs CIN (at HOU): 3-5, HR (7), 4 RBI (18), 2B, 3 R (33), K (13 pts)

PITCHERS
SP R.A. Dickey NYM (vs STL): CG 7-hit shutout (2.69 ERA), 0 BB, 9 K (70), W (8-1) (43 pts)
SP Stephen Strasburg WSH (vs ATL): 7 IP, 4 H, 0 ER (2.35 ERA), 0 BB, 9 K (79), W (6-1) (34 pts)
SP Brian Matusz BAL (at TBY): 7.1 IP, 2 H, 1 ER (4.41 ERA), 3 BB, 7 K (50), W (5-5) (29 pts)
Honorable mention: Shaun Marcum MIL (vs PIT), Matt Cain SFO (vs CHC) (29 pts each)

BY POSITION
C: Mauer MIN (8 pts)
1B: Votto CIN (11)
2B: Beckham CHW/Punto BOS (11)
3B: Cabrera DET (14)
SS: Lowrie HOU (9)
OF: Stubbs CIN (13)
SP: Dickey NYM (43)
RP: Wilhelmsen SEA (17)

YESTERDAY'S GAMES
And now, a note or two on yesterday's games:

Boston (28-25) 7, TORONTO (27-26) 4
  • LF Daniel Nava (7 pts) keeps getting his name penciled in for the Sox and keeps reaching base. He has now reached safely in 21 of his 23 games this season and his slash line looks very attractive (.315/.453/.534). In a Red Sox outfield that needs guys to step up because of injuries (see Ellsbury, Ross, McDonald and Sweeney just back from the DL), Nava is a breath of fresh air and could keep getting playing time. Nava is on a 6-game hit streak (9-for-24, 7 RBI, 3 BB, 3 K).
  • 2B Nick Punto (11 pts) had a fantastic game that belies his .175 average. Playing 2B, he was in the middle of the 4-run Sox 2nd with an RBI double and added a solo shot in the 9th for good measure. But, let's not get ahead of ourselves. Punto, at his best a versatile player who is a fringe bench player in an AL-only league, is much more valuable to a real team than a fantasy team.

DETROIT (25-28) 4, NY Yankees (28-24) 3
  • Let's talk about the Yankee and Tiger bullpens. CL Jose Valverde (1 pt) blew his third save of the year and got the vulture win (3-1), but his 4.64 ERA, especially coming off a brilliant 49-for-49 save year last year and a 2.24 ERA, is brutal by comparison. In his two-year Tiger career prior to 2012, Valverde only had 3 blown saves in 78 opportunities. He is 9-for-12 this season.
  • RP Cory Wade (-1 pt) was called on to preserve a 2-2 tie. Fail. RP David Phelps (-8 pts) only recorded one out in the three batters he faced and LOOGY Boone Logan came in against a righty, inherited first-and-third with one out, and allowed a sacrifice fly to Omir Santos to end the game. Questionable bullpen moves for manager Joe Girardi, but what choices does he have without Mariano Rivera and David Robertson?

NY METS (30-23) 5, St. Louis (27-26) 0
  • SP R.A. Dickey has made a habit of following up Johan Santana wins with great performances of his own, which does a good job in explaining how the Mets are 7 games above .500 while being outscored. Dickey, in an extraordinary second act to his career, spelled the Met bullpen even further with a complete-game 7-hit shutout (43 pts) and has eight quality starts in a row since his only loss of the year at Atlanta on April 18th (6-0, 1.76 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 56.1 IP, 39 H, 11 ER, 10 BB, 55 K). Dickey is now tied with Cole Hamels PHL and his counterpart today, Lance Lynn STL, for the ML lead with 8 wins.  Manager Terry Collins said he might skip Dickey if it looked like rain because that was a reason for his subpar start in Atlanta. You can keep Dickey in the lineup and ignore the weather reports because Collins is doing the work for you.

Miami (30-23) 5, PHILADELPHIA (28-26) 4
  • SP Cole Hamels (0 pts) could not bag his 9th win or hold a 3-0 lead in this one, but he did strike out 8 Marlins, giving him 80 in 77 innings. Hamels fell prey to 2 homers from Hanley Ramirez (13 pts).  SP Ricky Nolasco (9 pts) outpitched Hamels, but allowed six baserunners in the first three innings, so he was ordinary.
  • RP Steve Cishek was once again more impressive than CL Heath Bell, but Bell continues to improve. Cishek walked one but struck out two in the eighth, but Bell had a clean sheet in the ninth. Bell has converted his last 4 save opportunities, allowing no runs and only 3 hits, striking out 6 in those 4 innings.

Baltimore (30-23) 2, TAMPA BAY (30-23) 1
  • Who will bat third in RF Nick Markakis's absence? SS J.J. Hardy got the assignment on Friday (1-for-4, K). Chris Davis hit third last night and was awful (0-for-4, 3 K). That could affect Adam Jones, but you wouldn't know it from this 3-for-8 showing in the series so far.
  • The O's won the game with their pitching as the score suggests, with SP Brian Matusz (29 pts) clocking in 4 1-2-3 innings and permitted a run on a fielder's choice. Matusz filed his 4th straight quality start and moved to 4-0 in his last 5 starts (4-0, 2.87 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 31.1 IP, 25 H, 9 BB, 28 K). With Zach Britton possibly coming back next weekend, Matusz, Jason Hammel, and Wei-Yin Chen look to have their rotation spots safe. If you have Jake Arrieta (2-6, 5.37 ERA, 1.33 WHIP) or Tommy Hunter (2-3, 5.59, 1.43), keep tabs on where Britton slots in.

LA ANGELS (28-26) 3, Texas (31-22) 2
  • 3B Alberto Callaspo had 2 hits and has hit in 5 of 6 games (6-for-20, HR, 5 RBI). Callaspo has enjoyed the home cooking, hitting .351/.393/.368 at home (57 AB) and a paltry .155/.221/.268 away from Anaheim (71 AB). Speaking of splits, for the year, Callaspo is batting .297 against lefties but only .220 against righties. Unless and until he has middle infield eligibility, don't touch him.
  • SP C.J. Wilson (6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K, 18 pts) was brilliant, but of more interest is how the bullpen by committee was arranged in the final three innings. RP Jordan Walden (-1 pt) was the first man out and only recorded a single out while walking 2 and allowing a hit, leaving with the bases loaded. Walden was charged with an earned run as RP Bobby Cassevah allowed a sacrifice fly. In the 8th, RP Scott Downs (6 pts) walked the leadoff hitter, but struck out Josh Hamilton (-1 pt) and Adrian Beltre (-4 pts) before allowing a run on a single by Michael Young (1 pt) and an error by Torii Hunter. RP Ernesto Frieri (13 pts) was brought in to replace Downs and he cashed in a 4-out save, allowing 2 baserunners, but striking out 3.

OTHER SCORES
Minnesota (19-33) 7, CLEVELAND (28-24) 4
Cincinnati (30-22) 12, HOUSTON (22-31) 9
Oakland (23-30) 9, KANSAS CITY (22-29) 3
Seattle (24-31) 10, CHI WHITE SOX (30-23) 8
WASHINGTON (30-21) 2, Atlanta (28-25) 0
LA Dodgers (33-20) 6, COLORADO (22-30) 2
MILWAUKEE (24-29) 5, Pittsburgh (26-26) 1
Arizona (24-29) 4, SAN DIEGO (18-36) 2
SAN FRANCISCO (29-24) 2, Chi Cubs (18-34) 1

INJURY NEWS
  • LF Carlos Lee HOU: He did not start yesterday against the Reds and was placed on the DL. Brett Wallace (.259-5-29 in 2011) was recalled and should see time at first base.
  • SP Juan Nicasio COL: He was taken out of yesterday's start against the Dodgers in the second inning with a left knee strain and was placed on the 15-day DL
  • C Alex Avila DET: He took a foul tip on Thursday against Boston and has not returned yet. But, he has not been placed on the DL yet either. With Gerald Laird out, Omir Santos has started in the interim, but Avila will probably avoid a trip to the DL.
  • RP Jose Contreras PHL: He has a torn UCL and torn flexor tendon in his right elbow. His earlier return to the DL sparked some success out of the Phillies' bullpen, but they will have to look elsewhere for middle relief options (out for season)
  • 3B Aramis Ramirez MIL: He left Saturday's game against Pittsburgh with a left quad strain (day-to-day)
  • C Brian McCann ATL: He left Saturday's game against Washington after taking a foul tip to the left kneecap (day-to-day)

TODAY'S GAMES
Gio Gonzalez (7-1, 2.04 ERA, 0.94 WHIP) tries to join Cole Hamels, R.A. Dickey, and Lance Lynn atop the leaderboard for wins in the NL and the Majors against Atlanta and Tommy Hanson (5-4, 3.84, 1.44). The red-hot James McDonald (4-2, 2.20, 0.96) is on the road in Milwaukee, who is sending out Michael Friers (1-0, 1.29, 0.71) in his second ML start. Justin Verlander (5-3, 2.55, 0.89) faces the Yankees at home and has lost to Cleveland and Boston in his last two times out. Phil Hughes (4-5, 5.64, 1.44) goes for the Yankees.

The first-place White Sox send Chris Sale (6-2, 2.34, 1.01) to the mound and the reliever-turned-starter has gone at least seven in back-to-back starts entering this one. Sale will face Seattle and Kevin Millwood (3-4, 3.56, 1.29), who has won three straight starts. In the finale of the Rangers-Angels series, Matt Harrison (6-3, 4.41, 1.37) tries to win his third straight and tries to avenge a loss to Los Angeles on May 12th. Harrison will face Dan Haren (3-5, 3.52, 1.20), who has good peripherals despite a sub-.500 record.  Haren was 0-1 against the Rangers in 3 starts last year.

MY PICK 6:
SP James McDonald PIT (at MIL) (last 3 starts: 2-0, 1.74 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 20.2 IP, 24 K)
C Yadier Molina STL (at NYM) (last 8 games: 15-for-31, .774 SLG, 3 HR, 12 RBI)
CI David Wright NYM (vs STL) (after 0-for-17 slump: 5-for-19, HR, 4 RBI, 4 BB, 1 K)
MI Hanley Ramirez MIA (at PHL) (4 multi-hit games in last 5: 11-for-19, 3 HR, 5 RBI)
OF Andre Ethier LAD (at COL) (since May 1st: .367 (40-for-109), 4 HR, 22 RBI)
RP Fernando Rodney TBY (vs BAL) (17-for-18 this year, 2-for-2 vs. BAL)

Saturday, June 2, 2012

Fantasy Today: June 2nd

We are starting a new feature on the Random Musings blog.  It will not be very random because it will be a daily entry.  We will look at fantasy sports from a daily perspective: the games last night, the games tonight, and the news along the way.  As we settle in and find our rhythm, we'll add new features.  Please send your feedback in the Comments section below on the day in fantasy, what you like or don't like about the column, and any ideas for new features on the blog.

So, let's get started:

YESTERDAY'S NEWS
Congratulations to Johan Santana, who became the first pitcher in Met history to throw a no-hitter last night against the Cardinals.  In Game number 8,020, Santana did what many Mets fans thought would never happen.  The Mets have pitched 35 one-hitters and the Mets are a franchise built around pitching: Tom Seaver, Nolan Ryan, Jerry Koosman, Jon Matlack, Dwight Gooden, David Cone.  Now, the Padres are the only franchise without a no-hitter and the all-time longest no-hitter drought still rests with the Phillies franchise (8,945 games from 1906-1964 - h/t nonohitters.com).

YESTERDAY'S BEST (June 1st)
HITTERS
RF Michael Cuddyer COL: 2-4, HR (7), RBI (36), 4 R, BB, SB (7) (13 pts)
2B Gordon Beckham CHW: 2-5, 2 HR (7), 3 RBI (17), 2 R, K (12 pts)
CF Curtis Granderson NYY: 2-5, HR (17), 4 RBI (33), 2 R, K, SB () (12 pts)
Honorable mention: C Wilin Rosario COL, 2B Jason Kipnis CLE (12 pts each)

PITCHERS
SP Johan Santana NYM: No-hitter (1st), shutout (2.38 ERA), 5 BB, 8 K (68), W (3-2) (44 pts)
SP David Price TBY: 7.1 IP, 4 H, 0 ER (2.44 ERA), 2 BB, 5 K (62), W (7-3) (29 pts)
SP Madison Bumgarner SFO: 8 IP, 8 H, 2 ER (3.04 ERA), 0 BB, 11 K (58), W (6-4) (28 pts)

BY POSITION
C: Rosario COL (12)
1B: Cooper TOR (8)
2B: Beckham CHW/Kipnis CLE (12)
3B: Chisenhall CLE (11)
SS: Santiago DET (6)
OF: Cuddyer COL (13)
SP: Santana NYM (44)
RP: Ottavino COL (15)

YESTERDAY'S GAMES
And now, a note or two on yesterday's games:

NY METS (29-23) 8, St. Louis (27-25) 0
  • SP Johan Santana's scoreless streak has reached 18 innings, but that is not what New York is talking about today. In what may be the best sequel in a long time, Santana followed up his four-hit shutout of San Diego with a no-no against St. Louis.  Santana has had seven quality starts in his last eight tries, striking out at least seven in five of those eight starts.
  • OF Lucas Duda (1-3, HR (8), RBI (30), 8 pts) homered for the second straight game, following his two-homer game against the Phillies on Wednesday with a homer to support Santana's effort.

NY Yankees (28-23) 9, DETROIT (24-28) 4
  • OF Curtis Granderson hit his 3rd homer in 4 games and his third multi-hit game in his last four. The homer was a grand slam against his former team, so there was a little extra on the swing. He is continuing his homer-happy ways that led him to 41 jacks last year, as he is on pace for 54, and his sabermetric slash line for the season is very similar to last year (.263/.360/.561 in 2012, .262/.364/.552 in 2011), but one big difference is his lack of stolen bases.  He has 2 swipes in 5 tries this year after getting into double figures in each of the last five seasons.

Boston (27-25) 7, TORONTO (27-25) 2
  • Is SP Clay Buchholz turning a corner?  He has allowed 4 earned in his last 2 starts, totaling 15 innings. In fact, he has allowed 3 runs or less in 4 of his last 5 starts (2-1, 3.98 ERA, 31.2 IP, 11 BB, 20 K). He has a lot to go to be a dependable starter in any fantasy league, as his season totals are still terrible (5-2, 6.58 ERA, 1.73 WHIP in 11 starts).

PHILADELPHIA (28-25) 6, Miami (29-23) 4
  • OF Hunter Pence was 3-for-4 and homered (12) in the win, pushing his modest hitting streak to 7 games. The performance has given him 10 or more points in five straight fantasy weeks, as the main power bat in the Phillies lineup.
  • C Carlos Ruiz was back in the starting lineup for the Phillies and doubled in his 3-for-4 game. Ruiz is now batting .381 and slugging .626 on the season.

LA ANGELS (27-26) 4, Texas (31-21) 2
  • OF Mike Trout put his mark on the game with a 2-for-4 day including his 3rd triple, 3 RBI (19), and scored a run to play a part in each of the 4 runs for the Angels.
  • SP Jerome Williams has won each of his 5 home starts this year, adding a 2.17 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. His road numbers are at the other extreme (1-2, 5.65, 1.60), but he likes pitching at the Big "A".
  • Does RP Ernesto Frieri have the closer job? Manager Mike Scioscia's blueprint for the late innings had Scott Downs in the eighth (1 H, 1 K) and Frieri to nail down the ninth. Frieri set the Rangers down in order, striking out 2 in the process for his 3rd save.

CLEVELAND (28-23) 7, Minnesota (18-33) 1
  • 2B Jason Kipnis smacked a grand slam to lead the way, hitting his first homer since a 2-dinger outburst last week against the White Sox. He has put up back-to-back 20-point weeks (23, 28) and he is up to .283/.344/.463 for the year.

TAMPA BAY (30-22) 5, Baltimore (29-23) 0
  • Is the worm about to turn for SP Wei-Yin Chen? The Oriole righthander (5.2 IP, 5 H, 4 BB, 5 K, L (4-2)) has lost 2 of his last 3 starts, even though the teams he lost to are good teams in Washington and Tampa Bay.  In those 2 starts that were sandwiched around a good start against Kansas City, he allowed 11 runs in 10 innings to put his ERA at 3.75 after his first 10 ML starts.

CHI WHITE SOX (30-22), Seattle (23-31) 4
  • 2B Gordon Beckham (2-5, 2 HR, 3 RBI, 12 pts) continued his hot hitting, extending his hit streak to 8 games to boost his average from .204 to .229. After the White Sox signed Orlando Hudson, Beckham heard the footsteps, but he is finally producing.

OTHER SCORES
KANSAS CITY (22-28) 2, Oakland (22-30) 0
Cincinnati (29-22) 4, HOUSTON (22-30) 1
Pittsburgh (26-25) 8, MILWAUKEE (23-29) 2
COLORADO (22-29) 13, LA Dodgers (32-20) 3
SAN DIEGO (18-35) 7, Arizona (23-29) 1
SAN FRANCISCO (28-24) 4, Chi Cubs (18-33) 3
Atlanta (28-24) at Washington (29-21) - POSTPONED

TONIGHT'S GAMES
Cole Hamels (8-1, 2.43 ERA, 1.01 WHIP) and Lance Lynn (8-1, 2.54, 1.07) try to be the first to 9 wins in separate games. Hamels faces Ricky Nolasco and the Marlins at home while Lynn goes up against the Mets and R.A. Dickey in New York. Dickey (7-1, 3.06, 1.10) will try to join Hamels and Lynn atop the leaderboard in wins. The Braves and Nationals will try again after last night's rainout. Stephen Strasburg (5-1, 2.64, 1.10) will be on the mound for Washington.

In the Rangers-Angels game, C.J. Wilson (6-4, 2.77, 1.11) will face his old mates for the third time already this year and had his worst start of the season against the Rangers on May 11th and faced them again the next night. Yu Darvish (7-2, 3.25, 1.46) goes for Texas and would rather duplicate April (4-0, 2.18 ERA, 1.42 WHIP) than May (3-2, 4.50, 1.50).

MY PICK 6:
SP Shaun Marcum MIL (vs PIT) (last start at LAD: 7 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 9 K, W)
C Wilin Rosario COL (vs LAD) (2 HR in last 4 games, HR and 3 RBI last night vs LAD)
CI David Wright NYM (vs STL) (currently .366/.469/.570 despite 3-for-24 slump)
MI Jason Kipnis CLE (vs MIN) (grand slam last night to start June, .295/.351/.459 in May after .256/.330/.436 April)
OF Carlos Gonzalez COL (vs LAD) (6 straight multi-hit games, going 15-for-26, 6 HR, 11 RBI)
RP Francisco Liriano MIN (at CLE) (back in starting rotation after holding A's to 3 hits in 6 innings last time out (2 BB, 9 K))

Friday, June 1, 2012

Fantasy Today: June 1st

We are starting a new feature on the Random Musings blog.  It will not be very random because it will be a daily entry.  We will look at fantasy sports from a daily perspective: the games last night, the games tonight, and the news along the way.  As we settle in and find our rhythm, we'll add new features.  Please send your feedback in the Comments section below on the day in fantasy, what you like or don't like about the column, and any ideas for new features on the blog.

So, let's get started:

YESTERDAY'S BEST (May 31st)
HITTERS
LF Carlos Gonzalez COL: 3-4, HR (14), 3 RBI (44), 3 R (44), BB, SB (8) (16 pts)
RF Michael Cuddyer COL: 3-4, 3 RBI (35), 2B, 2 R (27), BB (10 pts)
CF Quintin Berry DET: 3-5, RBI (3), 2 R (9), 2 SB (5) (10 pts)

PITCHERS
SP Zach Greinke MIL: 6 IP, 9 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 K (69), QS, W (6-2) (20 pts)
SP Max Scherzer DET: 6 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 6 K (78), QS, W (5-3) (14 pts)
RP Phil Coke DET: 1.1 IP, 0 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 0 K (8 pts)

BY POSITION
C: Saltalamacchia BOS (7 pts)
1B: Fielder DET (8)
2B: Scutaro COL (8)
3B: Ramirez MIL (9)
SS: Lowrie HOU (4)
OF: Gonzalez COL (16)
SP: Greinke MIL (20)
RP: Coke DET (8)

YESTERDAY'S GAMES
There were only three games on the slate last night, so we'll spend a little time on each game.

Detroit (24-27) 7, BOSTON (26-25) 3
  • SP Max Scherzer (14 pts) pitched and won while doing the bare minimum for the quality start (6 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 6 K).  Scherzer won his third straight start and the 15-strikeout performance started him on this run (3-0, 3.93 ERA, 18.1 IP, 17 H, 8 ER).  Scherzer has had a fantastic strikeout-to-walk ratio of 10-to-1 over that span (30 K, 3 BB).
  • There were four multi-hit games for the Tigers, led by the relatively unknown OF Quintin Berry (3-for-5, 10 pts), who used his speed (2 SB) to score twice.  Berry is only owned in 1% of CBSSports.com leagues, but has 28 fantasy points since his call-up last week (39 AB, .333 AVG).  If you need OF help, he is an AL-only option, but his value could rise quickly until the pitchers adjust.
  • OF Delmon Young (8 pts) matched Berry with a 3-for-5 night and hit his 4th homer for a little insurance.  Young closed with a better May than his April, in more ways than one, hitting .265/.294/.429, 3 HR, 14 RBI in May after a .242/.311/.333 April.  But, he needs to show more before he deserves to get into your lineup.  Leave him alone for now.
  • Boston only managed seven hits, but C Jarrod Saltalamacchia (7 pts) was the only multi-hit player on the Sox.  "Salty" is up to 10 homers and completed a .308/.345/.628 May with 6 HR and 15 RBI.  He is not walking (7 BB, 39 K), but that is just about the only knock on his fantasy record this year.  He is on a solid run, homering five times in his last 10 games (13 days) and he is 5-for-11 over his last three games.  Get his .910 OPS in your lineup.
  • SP Josh Beckett (-5 pts) had pitched better for three starts since getting clocked by Cleveland on May 10th.  In three starts before last night, Beckett was 2-0 with only three earned runs allowed in 21.2 IP (1.25 ERA).  But, he fell back to earth with four earned runs and 10 hits allowed in seven innings of work, bumping his season ERA up from 4.15 to 4.26.

COLORADO (21-29) 11, Houston (22-29) 5
  • SP Bud Norris (-34 pts) was shellacked by the Rockies, as Norris could not get out of the second inning, surrendering nine earned runs on seven hits while only recording five outs.  Yes, it was Coors Field, and Carlos Gonzalez took him deep, but he walked three, allowed three singles and three doubles.  He had his string of five straight quality starts (4-0, 1.10 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 10 BB, 31 K) snapped in his previous start at Dodger Stadium, but his last two starts have ballooned his season ERA from 3.14 to 4.76.  Norris is solid at home (3-0, 1.60 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 33.2 IP), but dreadful away from Minute Maid Park (2-2, 7.80 ERA, 1.83 WHIP, 30 IP).
  • OF Carlos Gonzalez (16 pts) followed up his sterling three-homer performance with a dinger in his first at-bat off of Norris.  He was intentionally walked his next time up, but teams may not use that as a blueprint if OF Michael Cuddyer has nights like he did last night (3-for-4, 3 RBI, 10 pts).
  • Despite the blowout loss, Houston were only outhit by the Rockies, 15-14, and the Astros had three-hit games from 2B Jose Altuve (4 pts), who was 8-for-20 in the 4-game set at Coors, and SS Jed Lowrie (4 pts), who capped off a fantastic May (.275/.339/.520, 6 HR, 14 RBI) by hitting safely in 12 of his last 15 games.
  • SP Jeremy Guthrie (0 pts) won his first game since coming back from his bicycle injury.  He only has two quality starts in eight starts this year and even though he has gotten his share of ground balls (1.07 GO/AO), his numbers are indicative of a guy who pitches to contact in a large field like Coors.

Milwaukee (23-28) 6, LA DODGERS (32-19) 2
  • Much has been made of the home/road splits for SP Zach Greinke and, I must admit, I bought into it as well.  The Dodgers were without Matt Kemp, but the Brewers did not have the services of Ryan Braun.  The Brewers got out to a good lead off SP Chad Billingsley (6 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 8 K, 0 pts) and Greinke held it.  He has pitched well in two of his last three road starts, but he has been a lot better at home (3-0, 1.30 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, 34.2 IP).  Greinke has been feast-or-famine on the road, mixing in atrocious outings with really good ones.
  • 3B Aramis Ramirez was the hitting star with two hits, including his 5th home run.  Ramirez is only hitting .246/.318/.436, but his May showed improvement across the board (.274/.364/.484).  Ramirez is hot, hitting .351 (13-for-37) with 3 HR and 11 RBI over his last 9 games, hitting in all but one of those games and getting multiple hits in five of those nine contests.

INJURY NEWS
  • DH Travis Hafner CLE: He had right knee surgery on Thursday (out 4-6 weeks)
  • OF Nick Markakis BAL: He had successful surgery on his hamate bone in his right hand (out 3-4 weeks)
  • OF Ryan Braun MIL: He experienced tightness in his right Achilles' tendon (day-to-day)
  • SP Jaime Garcia STL: He was scheduled to start tonight at the NY Mets, but he is pushed back because of elbow discomfort. An MRI on the elbow came back negative. (day-to-day)
  • 2B Dustin Pedroia BOS: He was not in the lineup again, but he may avoid a trip to the DL and may play through the pain (day-to-day)
  • REHAB - OF Desmond Jennings TBY: Started his rehab assignment for Charlotte (Single-A)
  • RETURNING - OF Allen Craig STL: His second trip to the DL in the last month is over and Craig is ready to return (left hamstring strain)

TONIGHT'S GAMES
The highlight games are the Braves at the Nationals with Mike Minor (2-4, 6.98 ERA, 1.47 WHIP) taking on Stephen Strasburg (5-1, 2.64, 1.10) and the Rangers and Angels meet in Southern California with Colby Lewis (4-3, 3.58, 1.16) visiting Jerome Williams (5-2, 3.81, 1.31).  There are aces are on the hill in Queens as Johan Santana (2-2, 2.75, 1.10) hosts Adam Wainwright (4-5, 4.45, 1.35) in the Cardinals-Mets game as Carlos Beltran (.294/.394/.594, 15 HR, 42 RBI) makes his triumphant return to New York.

Chris Capuano (7-1, 2.14, 1.00) tries to tie for the Major League lead for wins as the Dodgers take on Colorado in Denver.  CC Sabathia (6-2, 3.66, 1.22) has gone six innings in every start this year and faces a Tigers team that sends a pitcher to make his Major League debut tonight in Casey Crosby (NR).  The Yankees normally have a tough time against pitchers they have never seen before.  Derek Lowe (6-3, 3.25, 1.52) takes his unsustainable WHIP and surprising start to the year against the Twins.

MY PICK 6:
SP Madison Bumgarner SFO (vs CHC) (2011 vs. Cubs: 1-1, 1.93 ERA, 14 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 4 BB, 17 K)
C Jarrod Saltalamacchia BOS (at TOR)
CI Mark Trumbo LAA (vs TEX) (.348/.396/.632, 10 HR, 26 RBI in 43 G this year; .451/.459/.732 at home)
MI Ian Kinsler TEX (at LAA) (2011 vs. Angels: .321/.391/.487, HR, 6 RBI)
OF Giancarlo Stanton MIA (at PHL) (.304/.376/.594 for season, .400 AVG and .900 SLG last 11 games)
RP Fernando Rodney TBY (vs BAL) (unscored upon in 21 of 25 appearances, 16 SV, 1.08 ERA, 0.76 WHIP this year)

Thursday, February 16, 2012

Gary Carter: Loss of a Childhood Idol

The Kid passed away today.  He left us much too soon at the age of 57 from brain cancer.  Today was such a sad day in so many ways.  When someone you revered in your childhood passes away, it is especially emotional.  Athletes, by and large, do not make good role models.  Gary Carter was a shining exception.

He was one of my two favorite players growing up, along with Keith Hernandez.  Yes, Doc and Darryl were flashy and represented the future of those Mets teams, but Kid and Mex represented the veteran presence, the steady hand, and the will to win.  Gary and Keith were different on the outside, but similar on the inside.  Both had the burning desire to win at any cost, Keith was street-wise while Gary was the eternal optimist.

There are so many memories that have lasted all of this time.  His first game as a New York Met?  Gary homered to beat St. Louis.  On the road after an 0-2 start to the 1986 World Series?  Gary homered twice to knot the series in Game Four.  The Game Six rally?  Gary started it. 

Gary was truly an inspiration and as the years have worn on, I appreciate him more now than I did when I was a kid.  He played a tough position, but he showed up every game.  In the face of adversity, he would not quit.  Gary was a true, born leader.  You saw it every at-bat and every inning behind the plate in every game.  Gary exhibited those values on the baseball field, but they can easily be adapted to life.

You see, there was a time I was a kid, but Gary never stopped being a kid.  We can all learn something from that.

Sunday, January 22, 2012

StatMan Interactive Poll: Conference Championship X-Factors

We are down to the final four teams in the National Football League for the 2011 season.  On our StatMan Interactive Poll today, we have two questions, asking for the X-Factors in each conference championship game.  I am defining the X-Factor to mean who will make the biggest difference in the game.

Please vote and comment on our "Sports With The StatMan" Facebook page.
Who is the X-Factor in the Baltimore-New England AFC Championship Game?
  • QB Tom Brady NE: Brady has been waiting for a chance to get back in the Super Bowl and also a chance to get back at the Ravens for beating the Patriots a couple of years ago.  Brady was only 23-of-42 for 154 yards, throwing two touchdowns but three interceptions.  The offense revolves around Brady.
  • RB Ray Rice BAL: Rice started that playoff game a couple of years ago with a 83-yard touchdown.  With a maligned quarterback in Joe Flacco, Rice may shoulder the load of the offense and the Patriots defense will have to stop Rice to win.
  • TE Rob Gronkowski NE: "Gronk" has set records this season with his receiving and he has been the favorite red zone target of Tom Brady.  He is athletic and part of the new breed of agile, pass-catching tight ends.  He normally creates a good matchup for the Patriots due to his size, strength, and agility.
  • QB Joe Flacco BAL: Flacco has had his critics in the press, but last week, Ed Reed called him out.  Could this be a wake-up call for Flacco to perform at his highest level in the most important game of his young career?
  • SS Ed Reed BAL: Reed has eight interceptions in ten career postseason games, including one last week.  Reed leads the defensive secondary, as each level of the Ravens defense has a solid leader.  Reed can change a game and could make Brady pay for making errant passes.
  • DE Terrell Suggs BAL: Suggs leads the defensive line and leads their pass rush.  If Brady is not comfortable in the pocket, it will be because of Suggs.  Solid defensive pressure may take Brady and the Patriots from executing their offense at their tempo on their terms in their house.
Who is the X-Factor in the NY Giants-San Francisco NFC Championship Game?
  • QB Eli Manning NYG: You can never count Eli Manning out.  He set a record for 15 fourth quarter touchdown passes this season.  Manning is now counted among the elite quarterbacks in the NFL.  Do you doubt how much he means to his team?  Just ask his players...or anyone that watches him play.  The Giants have had one of the worst running games in their history, but the offense has not suffered.
  • QB Alex Smith SFO: Alex Smith had a huge game last week, passing for 299 yards and accounting for four touchdowns (three passing and one rushing) without turning the ball over.  Is this the new Smith or will the Giants pass rush get to him?  Smith can create outside the pocket and the Giants can be thrown on.
  • WR Hakeem Nicks NYG: Nicks set the tone for the Giants last week, making two game-breaking plays in the first half against Green Bay.  Nicks is rangy and has the speed to make the Niner defenders see the "88" on his back as he runs into the end zone.  His height makes him a big-time threat in the red zone as well.
  • WR Victor Cruz NYG: Just as Nicks has breakaway speed, so does Cruz, as both have a lot of yards gained after the catch.  Cruz does it from the flanker position and goes over the middle, which is dangerous.  If Cruz draws a double-team, Nicks is freed up.  If Nicks is double-teamed, that could mean a huge day for Cruz.
  • RB Frank Gore SFO: Gore can help the 49ers control the ball and limit Manning and the time that the Giants offense is on the field.  Gore is the 49ers all-time leading rusher and seems healthy, with 127 all-purpose yards last week against the Saints.  Gore could be looking for revenge against the Giants, as he had zero yards rushing on six carries in Week 10.
  • TE Vernon Davis SFO: Davis had an amazing game against the Saints, with two touchdowns, including the game-winner with nine seconds left.  Davis will be pivotal if the 49ers have any kind of success throwing the ball, as he accounted for 60% of Alex Smith's passing yardage last week.
  • LB Patrick Willis SFO: Willis is known as one of the best defensive players on the 49ers and the best have a tendency to come up big in the biggest moments.  But, Willis has had his fewest number of tackles in his NFL career this year (97) and second-fewest amount of sacks (two).  Willis did have eight tackles last week against New Orleans.
***
We will talk about both the AFC and NFC title games on "Sports With The StatMan", this Monday (January 23rd) at 11pm ET (Click here for the live broadcast).  You can tune in on our show page or look for us on iTunes.  And, if you miss us, you can click on the live broadcast link above or get onto the Facebook page for the audio of the show, Episode #230.

Upcoming episodes this week:
Monday, January 23rd - 11pm ET - Sports With The StatMan #230: NFL Conference Championship Talk, NHL Talk (Episode Page)
Wednesday, January 25th - 11pm ET - Sports With The StatMan #231: This Week in Fantasy Sports (Episode Page)

Monday, January 16, 2012

StatMan Interactive Poll: Best of Divisional Playoff Weekend

Sports With The StatMan has a new page on Facebook.  Get on there and "like" the show!  I want to hear what you have to say and I'll bring up the best of what you have on the show.

Today's StatMan Interactive Poll asks you which performance was the best in the Divisional Playoff round.  You can vote by clicking here.

Here are your three choices, or you can add your own:
  • Patriots QB Tom Brady: Brady set a franchise record with 363 passing yards and tied an NFL playoff record with 6 TDs.  Brady was relentless, setting an NFL playoff record with five touchdowns in the first half and he continues to use his tight ends, with three more TD tosses to Rob Gronkowski.
  • Giants WR Hakeem Nicks: Nicks almost single-handedly gave the Giants a 20-10 halftime advantage with a burst of speed for a 66-yard score and an answered prayer in the end zone, winning a jump ball for his second touchdown of the half.
  • 49ers QB Alex Smith: Smith had his coming out party in the playoffs after a 13-3 regular season. Smith had to deal with Drew Brees and the Saints, held the lead for most of the game, and dramatically came back from not one, but two late deficits to win.
Once again, vote one of these choices or add your own.  Comment here or within the poll, right on Facebook.

Sunday, January 1, 2012

NFL Week 17 Picks and Predictions

WEEK 16 RESULTS
  • Picks - Straight Up: Overall - 157-83 (.654), Last Week - All Games - 12-4, Locals - 2-1, Big Games - 2-1
  • Picks - Against the Spread: Overall - 121-111-8 (.521), Last Week - 7-8-1, Locals - 1-2, Big Games - 1-2
  • Knockout Pool - Round 3 (W, BAL def. CLE) (Teams used this season: ARZ, NYG, PIT, TBY, SDG, OAK, DAL, SFO, HOU, PHL (L), NE, ATL, NO, NYJ, GBY (L), BAL)
  • Start 'Em/Sit 'Em Three-Play: Overall - 24-23-1 (.510), Last Week - 1-2, QB - 7-9 (L, Orton KCY 12, Manning NYG 17), RB - 6-9-1 (L, Blount TBY 1, Jackson STL 12), WR - 11-5 (W, Moss WSH 4, Smith BAL 3)
WEEK 17 PICKS
Straight Up (win/loss) 
  • Locals: NYJ (at MIA), NYG (vs DAL), NE (vs BUF), PHL (vs WSH)
  • Big Game Winners: BAL (at CIN), KCY (at DEN), OAK (vs SDG)
  • Other Winners: TEN (at HOU), JAX (vs IND), DET (at GBY), MIN (vs CHI), NO (vs CAR), SFO (at STL), PIT (at CLE), ATL (vs TBY), SEA (at ARZ)
Against the Spread (spreads in parentheses)
  • Locals: NYJ (+2 at MIA), NYG (-3 vs DAL), NE (-11.5 vs BUF), PHL (-8.5 vs WSH)
  • Big Game Covers: BAL (-2.5 at CIN), KCY (+3 at DEN), OAK (-3 vs SDG)
  • Other Covers: TEN (-2.5 at HOU), JAX (-4 vs IND), DET (-4 at GBY), MIN (Pick 'em vs CHI), CAR (+9 at NO), SFO (-10.5 at STL), CLE (+11 vs PIT), ATL (-11.5 vs TBY), SEA (+3 at ARZ)
Knockout Pool
  • Round 3: Detroit (at GBY)
WEEK 17 PREDICTIONS
Start 'Em/Sit 'Em Three-Play
  • QB: Start Ryan Fitzpatrick BUF (at NE), Sit Ben Roethlisberger PIT (at CLE)
  • RB: Start Pierre Thomas NO (vs CAR), Sit Chris Johnson TEN (at HOU)
  • WR: Start Santonio Holmes NYJ (at MIA), Sit Brandon Marshall MIA (vs NYJ)
***
Upcoming Schedule for Sports With The StatMan:
  • SWTS 223: Special Episode - 2011 StatMan Awards (Sunday 11pm ET) - Episode Page
  • SWTS 224: Football Night: Week 17 Recap/Wild Card Weekend Preview; Hockey Talk - NHL Week 13 (Monday 11pm ET) - Episode Page
  • SWTS 225: Fantasy Weekend: NFL Week 17 and Wild Card Weekend, NHL Week 13 (Wednesday 11pm ET) - Episode Page
Find the show and get in touch with the show:

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