Wednesday, September 12, 2012

StatMan Contender Index: Week of September 10, 2012

The Yankees have not gained ground in the playoff race in four weeks, but they are still ahead of Baltimore and Tampa in the division. The saving grace for the Yankees is their remaining schedule.  The Yankees' remaining opponents this season have a combined winning percentage of .477, while Baltimore (#11, 277.7 SCI) has a .501 and Tampa Bay (#8, 279.8 SCI) has a .513.

Washington looks like a serious lock for the playoffs at this point, leading baseball over the past week in gaining ground.  The Nationals added 180.7 points to lead the way at 661.5 points in the StatMan Contender Index.  Washington trailed Cincinnati by 3 points last week, but took a commanding 78.5-point lead.

Atlanta is the top Wild Card leader in the rankings at #3 and the lowest division leader is the Chicago White Sox, which come in at #8 (292.9 SCI).  While Chicago leads the division, Detroit (#14, 266.8 SCI) has an easier schedule the rest of the way (DET .469, CHW .481).  Tampa Bay is the top-ranked team that would not have a playoff spot if the season ended today, as the Rays rank #9 (279.8 SCI).

StatMan CONTENDER RANKINGS - as of September 10th
#TeamSCIRecordStandingsMagic/Elimination OWPCT
Season
OWPCT
Week 24
OWPCT
Weeks 24-25
1Washington661.586-54, .614+5.5 NLEDIV M# 29,
PLY M# 10
.5103.5190.5140
2Cincinnati533.084-57, .596+8.5 NLCDIV M# 30,
PLY M# 12
.4890.4825.4690
3Atlanta404.681-60, .574-5.5 NLE,
+7.0 NLWC
DIV E# 17,
PLY M# 15
.4966.5535.5118
4San Francisco393.579-61, .564+5.5 NLWDIV M# 29,
PLY M# 17
.4608.4460.4378
5Texas370.183-57, .593+3.5 ALWDIV M# 26,
PLY M# 17
.5177.4480.4803
6NY Yankees309.379-61, .564+1.0 ALEDIV M# 24,
PLY M# 21
.4766.5050.5063
16Philadelphia206.569-71, .493-17.0 NLE,
-6.0 NLWC
DIV E# 7,
PLY E# 18
.4880.3710.4393
19NY Mets143.965-75, .464-21.0 NLE,
-10.0 NLWC
DIV E# 3,
PLY E# 14
.5125.5535.5118
25Boston68.363-78, .447-16.5 ALE,
-15.5 ALWC
DIV E# 6,
PLY E# 7
.5413.5055.5311
Key:
SCI - StatMan Contender Index, DIV - Division, PLY - Playoff, M# - Magic Number, E# - Elimination Number, OWPCT - Opposing Winning Percentage, R/S - Rest of the Season
Divisions: NLE - NL East, NLC - NL Central, NLW - NL West, ALE - AL East, ALC - AL Central, ALW - AL West

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