Saturday, January 12, 2013

Fantasy Today: January 12th, 2013

FANTASY FOOTBALL
NFL WILD CARD ROUND (Week 18) COMPOSITE FANTASY STATISTICS
QUARTERBACKS










PASS





RUSH




Player
Pos
NFLTm
Wk
Game
Opp
Time
W/L
Score
FPTS
Att
Cmp
Yd
TD
Int
Rate
Att
Yd
Avg
TD
FL
Flacco, Joe
QB
BAL
18
3
vs IND
Su1
W
24-9
23
23
12
282
2
0
125.6
3
-3
-1
0
0
Webb, Joe
QB
MIN
18
2
at GBY
Sa8
L
10-24
20
30
11
180
1
1
54.9
7
68
9.7
0
1
Wilson, Russell
QB
SEA
18
4
at WSH
Su4
W
24-14
19
26
15
187
1
0
92.9
8
67
8.4
0
0
Rodgers, Aaron
QB
GB
18
2
vs MIN
Sa8
W
24-10
15
33
23
274
1
0
104.9
2
12
6
0
0
Luck, Andrew
QB
IND
18
3
at BAL
Su1
L
9-24
11
54
28
288
0
1
59.8
4
35
8.8
0
1
Griffin III, Robert
QB
WAS
18
4
vs SEA
Su4
L
14-24
10
19
10
84
2
1
77.5
5
21
4.2
0
1
Schaub, Matt
QB
HOU
18
1
vs CIN
Sa4
W
19-13
8
38
29
262
0
1
83.4
4
1
0.2
0
0
Dalton, Andy
QB
CIN
18
1
at HOU
Sa4
L
13-19
4
30
14
127
0
1
44.7
4
15
3.8
0
0
Cousins, Kirk
QB
WAS
18
4
vs SEA
Su4
L
14-24
1
10
3
31
0
0
40
1
0
0
0
0

RUNNING BACKS










RUSH



REC





Player
Pos
NFLTm
Wk
Game
Opp
Time
W/L
Score
FPTS
Att
Yd
Avg
TD
Targt
Recpt
Yd
Avg
TD
FL
Foster, Arian
RB
HOU
18
1
vs CIN
Sa4
W
19-13
21
32
140
4.4
1
8
8
34
4.2
0
0
Lynch, Marshawn
RB
SEA
18
4
at WSH
Su4
W
24-14
20
20
132
6.6
1
1
1
9
9
0
1
Harris, DuJuan
RB
GB
18
2
vs MIN
Sa8
W
24-10
13
17
47
2.8
1
6
5
53
10.6
0
0
Kuhn, John
RB
GB
18
2
vs MIN
Sa8
W
24-10
11
3
4
1.3
1
3
2
15
7.5
1
0
Pierce, Bernard
RB
BAL
18
3
vs IND
Su1
W
24-9
10
13
103
7.9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Ballard, Vick
RB
IND
18
3
at BAL
Su1
L
9-24
9
22
91
4.1
0
2
1
3
3
0
0
Peterson, Adrian
RB
MIN
18
2
at GBY
Sa8
L
10-24
9
22
99
4.5
0
3
1
8
8
0
0
Rice, Ray
RB
BAL
18
3
vs IND
Su1
W
24-9
9
15
70
4.7
0
4
1
47
47
0
2
Morris, Alfred
RB
WAS
18
4
vs SEA
Su4
L
14-24
8
16
80
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Robinson, Michael
RB
SEA
18
4
at WSH
Su4
W
24-14
8
1
3
3
0
3
2
23
11.5
1
0
Green-Ellis, BenJarvus
RB
CIN
18
1
at HOU
Sa4
L
13-19
6
11
63
5.7
0
2
2
-9
-4.5
0
0
Royster, Evan
RB
WAS
18
4
vs SEA
Su4
L
14-24
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
4
1
0
Leach, Vonta
RB
BAL
18
3
vs IND
Su1
W
24-9
4
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Casey, James
RB
HOU
18
1
vs CIN
Sa4
W
19-13
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
20
20
0
0
Turbin, Robert
RB
SEA
18
4
at WSH
Su4
W
24-14
2
8
22
2.8
0
1
1
6
6
0
0
Grant, Ryan
RB
GB
18
2
vs MIN
Sa8
W
24-10
1
7
7
1
0
1
1
16
16
0
0
Moore, Mewelde
RB
IND
18
3
at BAL
Su1
L
9-24
1
3
11
3.7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Leonard, Brian
RB
CIN
18
1
at HOU
Sa4
L
13-19
0
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Tate, Ben
RB
HOU
18
1
vs CIN
Sa4
W
19-13
0
2
1
0.5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

WIDE RECEIVERS










RUSH



REC





Player
Pos
NFLTm
Wk
Game
Opp
Time
W/L
Score
FPTS
Att
Yd
Avg
TD
Targt
Recpt
Yd
Avg
TD
FL
Boldin, Anquan
WR
BAL
18
3
vs IND
Su1
W
24-9
20
0
0
0
0
7
5
145
29
1
0
Jenkins, Michael
WR
MIN
18
2
at GBY
Sa8
L
10-24
19
0
0
0
0
5
3
96
32
1
0
Wayne, Reggie
WR
IND
18
3
at BAL
Su1
L
9-24
11
0
0
0
0
18
9
114
12.7
0
0
Green, A.J.
WR
CIN
18
1
at HOU
Sa4
L
13-19
8
0
0
0
0
11
5
80
16
0
0
Hilton, T.Y.
WR
IND
18
3
at BAL
Su1
L
9-24
6
0
0
0
0
13
8
66
8.2
0
0
Jennings, Greg
WR
GB
18
2
vs MIN
Sa8
W
24-10
6
0
0
0
0
6
4
61
15.2
0
0
Johnson, Andre
WR
HOU
18
1
vs CIN
Sa4
W
19-13
6
0
0
0
0
6
4
62
15.5
0
0
Garcon, Pierre
WR
WAS
18
4
vs SEA
Su4
L
14-24
5
0
0
0
0
6
4
50
12.5
0
0
Jones, James
WR
GB
18
2
vs MIN
Sa8
W
24-10
5
0
0
0
0
4
4
51
12.8
0
0
Nelson, Jordy
WR
GB
18
2
vs MIN
Sa8
W
24-10
5
0
0
0
0
6
3
51
17
0
0
Baldwin, Doug
WR
SEA
18
4
at WSH
Su4
W
24-14
3
0
0
0
0
5
2
39
19.5
0
0
Jones, Marvin
WR
CIN
18
1
at HOU
Sa4
L
13-19
3
0
0
0
0
5
3
34
11.3
0
0
Smith, Torrey
WR
BAL
18
3
vs IND
Su1
W
24-9
3
0
0
0
0
4
2
31
15.5
0
0
Tate, Golden
WR
SEA
18
4
at WSH
Su4
W
24-14
3
0
0
0
0
5
4
35
8.8
0
0
Avery, Donnie
WR
IND
18
3
at BAL
Su1
L
9-24
2
1
15
15
0
8
2
12
6
0
0
Hankerson, Leonard
WR
WAS
18
4
vs SEA
Su4
L
14-24
2
0
0
0
0
5
2
27
13.5
0
0
Rice, Sidney
WR
SEA
18
4
at WSH
Su4
W
24-14
2
0
0
0
0
4
1
27
27
0
0
Simpson, Jerome
WR
MIN
18
2
at GBY
Sa8
L
10-24
2
0
0
0
0
6
2
21
10.5
0
0
Walter, Kevin
WR
HOU
18
1
vs CIN
Sa4
W
19-13
2
0
0
0
0
5
4
26
6.5
0
0
Brazill, LaVon
WR
IND
18
3
at BAL
Su1
L
9-24
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
17
17
0
0
Hawkins, Andrew
WR
CIN
18
1
at HOU
Sa4
L
13-19
1
0
0
0
0
4
2
15
7.5
0
0
Martin, Keshawn
WR
HOU
18
1
vs CIN
Sa4
W
19-13
1
1
16
16
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Moss, Santana
WR
WAS
18
4
vs SEA
Su4
L
14-24
1
0
0
0
0
5
3
19
6.3
0
0
Wright, Jarius
WR
MIN
18
2
at GBY
Sa8
L
10-24
1
0
0
0
0
4
2
13
6.5
0
0
Aromashodu, Devin
WR
MIN
18
2
at GBY
Sa8
L
10-24
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
Cobb, Randall
WR
GB
18
2
vs MIN
Sa8
W
24-10
0
2
6
3
0
2
1
7
7
0
0
Doss, Tandon
WR
BAL
18
3
vs IND
Su1
W
24-9
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
Jones, Jacoby
WR
BAL
18
3
vs IND
Su1
W
24-9
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
8
8
0
0
Morgan, Josh
WR
WAS
18
4
vs SEA
Su4
L
14-24
0
0
0
0
0
7
1
0
0
0
0

TIGHT ENDS
Player
Pos
NFLTm
Wk
Game
Opp
Time
W/L
Score
FPTS
Targt
Recpt
Yd
Avg
TD
FL
Daniels, Owen
TE
HOU
18
1
vs CIN
Sa4
W
19-13
18
11
9
91
10.1
0
0
Miller, Zach
TE
SEA
18
4
at WSH
Su4
W
24-14
10
6
4
48
12
0
0
Pitta, Dennis
TE
BAL
18
3
vs IND
Su1
W
24-9
10
2
2
27
13.5
1
0
Allen, Dwayne
TE
IND
18
3
at BAL
Su1
L
9-24
9
6
4
51
12.8
0
0
Paulsen, Logan
TE
WAS
18
4
vs SEA
Su4
L
14-24
7
4
2
15
7.5
1
0
Rudolph, Kyle
TE
MIN
18
2
at GBY
Sa8
L
10-24
7
3
3
42
14
0
0
Fleener, Coby
TE
IND
18
3
at BAL
Su1
L
9-24
5
5
3
25
8.3
0
0
Graham, Garrett
TE
HOU
18
1
vs CIN
Sa4
W
19-13
5
3
3
29
9.7
0
0
Dickson, Ed
TE
BAL
18
3
vs IND
Su1
W
24-9
3
1
1
24
24
0
0
Crabtree, Tom
TE
GB
18
2
vs MIN
Sa8
W
24-10
2
1
1
10
10
0
0
Finley, Jermichael
TE
GB
18
2
vs MIN
Sa8
W
24-10
2
3
1
10
10
0
0
Gresham, Jermaine
TE
CIN
18
1
at HOU
Sa4
L
13-19
2
7
2
7
3.5
0
0
Taylor, Ryan
TE
GB
18
2
vs MIN
Sa8
W
24-10
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
Carlson, John
TE
MIN
18
2
at GBY
Sa8
L
10-24
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
Ellison, Rhett
TE
MIN
18
2
at GBY
Sa8
L
10-24
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
McCoy, Anthony
TE
SEA
18
4
at WSH
Su4
W
24-14
0
1
0
0
0
0
0

KICKERS
Player
Pos
NFLTm
Wk
Game
Opp
Time
W/L
Score
FPTS
FGA
FG
FGLg
XPAtt
XP
XPB
Graham, Shayne
K
HOU
18
1
vs CIN
Sa4
W
19-13
15
4
4
48
1
1
0
Hauschka, Steven
K
SEA
18
4
at WSH
Su4
W
24-14
11
3
3
32
1
1
0
Vinatieri, Adam
K
IND
18
3
at BAL
Su1
L
9-24
14
4
3
52
0
0
0
Brown, Josh
K
CIN
18
1
at HOU
Sa4
L
13-19
10
2
2
47
1
1
0
Crosby, Mason
K
GB
18
2
vs MIN
Sa8
W
24-10
6
1
1
20
3
3
0
Tucker, Justin
K
BAL
18
3
vs IND
Su1
W
24-9
6
1
1
23
3
3
0
Walsh, Blair
K
MIN
18
2
at GBY
Sa8
L
10-24
5
1
1
33
1
1
0
Forbath, Kai
K
WAS
18
4
vs SEA
Su4
L
14-24
2
0
0
0
2
2
0

DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS
Player
Pos
NFLTm
Wk
Game
Opp
Time
W/L
Score
FPTS
Int
STY
SACK
TK
DFR
FF
DTD
PA
PaNetA
RuYdA
TYdA
Ravens
DST
BAL
18
3
vs IND
Su1
W
24-9
14
1
0
3
61
1
1
0
9
267
152
419
Packers
DST
GB
18
2
vs MIN
Sa8
W
24-10
11
1
0
3
43
2
1
0
10
157
167
324
Bengals
DST
CIN
18
1
at HOU
Sa4
L
13-19
10
1
0
0
64
0
0
1
19
262
158
420
Seahawks
DST
SEA
18
4
at WSH
Su4
W
24-14
9
1
0
2
26
1
0
0
14
99
104
203
Texans
DST
HOU
18
1
vs CIN
Sa4
W
19-13
9
1
0
2
41
0
0
0
13
118
80
198
Redskins
DST
WAS
18
4
vs SEA
Su4
L
14-24
6
0
0
5
38
1
1
0
24
156
224
380
Colts
DST
IND
18
3
at BAL
Su1
L
9-24
3
0
0
1
50
2
2
0
24
269
172
441
Vikings
DST
MIN
18
2
at GBY
Sa8
L
10-24
3
0
0
3
56
0
0
0
24
250
76
326

SCORING DISTANCES (yardage in parentheses)
Passing Touchdowns:
0-9 yards: Griffin III WSH 2 (4, 4), Wilson SEA (4), Rodgers GBY (9)
10-24 yards: Flacco BAL 2 (20, 18)
25-39 yards: None
40+ yards: Webb MIN (50)

Rushing Touchdowns:
0-9 yards: Foster HOU (1), Leach BAL (2), Harris GBY (9), Kuhn GBY (3)
10-24 yards: None
25-39 yards: Lynch SEA (27)
40+ yards: None

Receiving Touchdowns:
0-9 yards: Royster WSH (4), Paulsen WSH (4), Robinson SEA (4), Kuhn GBY (9)
10-24 yards: Pitta BAL (20), Boldin BAL (18)
25-39 yards: None
40+ yards: Jenkins MIN (50)

Field Goals:
0-29 yards: Graham HOU (27, 22, 24), Tucker BAL (23), Vinatieri IND (26), Hauschka SEA (29, 22), Crosby GBY (20)
30-39 yards: Brown CIN (34), Hauschka SEA (32), Walsh MIN (33)
40-49 yards: Graham HOU (48), Brown CIN (47), Vinatieri IND (47)
50+ yards: Vinatieri IND (52)

Defense/Special Teams Touchdowns:
Interception TD: Hall CIN (21)

Monday, January 7, 2013

Fantasy Today: January 7th, 2013

FANTASY FOOTBALL
WILD CARD WEEKEND - SUNDAY LEADERS
GAME-BY-GAME LEADERS
Sunday 1pm ET - Indianapolis at Baltimore
QB Joe Flacco BAL: 23 points (12-23-282-2-0 pass, PaTD (20,18), 3-(-3)-0 rush)
WR Anquan Boldin BAL: 20 points (5-145-1 rec, ReTD (18))
K Adam Vinatieri IND: 14 points (3-4 FG (47,52,26))
DST Baltimore Ravens BAL: 14 points (9 pts allowed, 1 INT (41 yds), 1 fumble recovery, 3 sacks)

Saturday 4:30pm ET - Seattle at Washington
RB Marshawn Lynch SEA: 20 points (20-132-1 rush, RuTD (27), 1-9-0 rec, 1 fumble lost)
QB Russell Wilson SEA: 19 points (15-26-187-1-0 pass, PaTD (4), 1 2-pt pass, 8-67-0 rush)
K Steven Hauschka SEA: 11 points (3-3 FG (32,29,22), XP)

Catch me on "Sports With The StatMan" on Wednesdays at 11pm ET and Saturdays at 11am ET. We'll break down these games and look ahead to next week on our This Week in Fantasy Sports segment, Saturday morning at 11am ET.

The NHL Lockout: What Can Be Done For The Fans?

The fans always get the short end of the stick in these labor stoppages.  The owners and players fight it out, trying to divide revenue that fans provide, take games off the schedule that fans want to see, and bring such a black mark on the game that fans really question why they support such idiocy.

There is no promise of continuous operation going forward, no cap on ticket costs, nothing besides a stenciled “Thank You Fans” that will undoubtedly adorn every ice surface for the next few weeks.  But, here are a few things that may bring some fans on the fence back from their threats to leave the game for good:

1.       Hold all ticket costs stable through 2014-15
Give jaded fans a reason to come back.  Show that while it was all about the money, the owners are not completely heartless.  Show there was a good reason to wait and give up 17 home dates.  After all, the fans should share in some of the cost certainty the owners have been preaching since 2004. 

2.       Give more perks league-wide to season ticket holders
Most season ticket holders could not get their money out if they could.  It was what amounted to a no-interest loan for some subscribers.  Make it worth their while.  Make it easier for them to re-up for next season with one-of-a-kind perks.  Let every season ticket holder get an autographed jersey.  Give season subscribers a meet-and-greet this year where the player actually has more than a five-second conversation with the fan.  Let the average fan see what it is like to take in a game from a luxury box.

3.       Give GameCenter Live away for free for the rest of this season and subsidize Center Ice for the rest of this season
Steve Lepore had a great point about Center Ice.  The NHL does not own the content all by itself.  The NHL should, however, subsidize subscribers after they fork over the dough to their cable or satellite company.  The NHL is getting a full-season of their TV money and 50% of their sponsor money this season.  It is safe to say they made it through the Lockout okay.  How about broadcasting your wonderful sport to anyone who wants to watch?

4.       Continue to grow the game at all levels and in all communities
Let’s face it: hockey players are the most down-to-earth, relatable athletes there are.  Hockey is grass-roots, it is homespun.  Hearing how a hockey player made the NHL is more heart-warming than any other rags-to-riches story, in my book.  So, let’s step up our efforts to allow these athletes to be ambassadors of the game. 

Brooks Orpik said the wrong thing a couple of weeks ago.  He put the responsibility squarely on the owners to grow the game.  Nope.  This sport’s stewardship is in the hands of everyone, especially the owners and the players, in partnership.  I know it is a hard word to understand, but these parties need to be partners.

5.       Commit to a return to a World Cup of Hockey every other September
Leave the Olympics to the amateurs, although basketball players, swimmers, and skiers, among others, are paid professionals now.  The beauty of the amateur hockey competition we just saw in the IIHF Under-20 World Junior Championship shows hockey in its best form.  Also, the 1996 World Cup of Hockey was a fantastic tournament that was very popular.  Instead of fitting professional involvement in national tournament hockey into the Olympics, why not create your own national tournament?  The owners and players should be partners (there’s that word again) on this.  Besides soccer, there is no sport that is more conducive to a tournament of professional players than hockey.  I would rather see a professional tournament every two or years for hockey than basketball, baseball, or any other sport combined.

6.       Commit to meaningful talks one full year before any expiration of the current CBA
The most annoying thing about this Lockout was that the deal that was agreed upon this weekend probably could have been agreed upon two months ago with a little bit of compromising.  The Lockout was a negotiating tool by the owners, which the “stick” for the players was dissolution of the union.  Enough with the leverage. 

Let’s enforce a one-year rule.  One year before the manual opt-out, come together to determine whether bargaining needs to re-open.  If we are on the right track and the CBA will go to its full term, open up talks for the next CBA one year before the agreement expires.  And, I do not want a couple of short sessions and a couple of press conferences.  I want meaningful talks.  I want progress 11 months before the CBA expires.  I want proposals and counter-proposals during the season leading up to the expiration of the agreement.  That way, mediation could occur early in the offseason if they are still at loggerheads.  The Lockout should never, ever be used as a negotiating tool.  Neither should the tired charade of dissolving the union and challenging the league’s anti-trust protection.  Let’s make less work for the lawyers and more work to find common ground.

What other things can the NHL and their teams do to bring you back as fans?  Let me know by leaving a comment below.

Catch me on "Sports With The StatMan" on Wednesdays at 11pm ET and Saturdays at 11am ET. We will have a special NHL: Return To Hockey episode this week.  Check the show page at http://www.blogtalkradio.com/The-StatMan for the latest show schedule.

Sunday, January 6, 2013

Fantasy Today: January 6th, 2013

FANTASY FOOTBALL
WILD CARD WEEKEND - SATURDAY LEADERS
GAME-BY-GAME
Saturday 4:30pm ET - Cincinnati at Houston
RB Arian Foster HOU: 21 points (32-140-1 rush, RuTD (1), 8-34-0 rec)
TE Owen Daniels HOU: 18 points (9-91-0 rec)
K Shayne Graham HOU: 15 points (4-4 FG (48,27,22,24), XP)

Saturday 8pm ET - Minnesota at Green Bay
QB Joe Webb MIN: 20 points (11-30-180-1-1 pass, PaTD (50), 7-68-0 rush, 1 FL)
WR Michael Jenkins MIN: 19 points (3-96-1 rec, ReTD (50))
QB Aaron Rodgers GBY: 15 points (23-33-274-1-0 pass, PaTD (9), 2-12-0 rush)

Catch me on "Sports With The StatMan" on Wednesdays at 11pm ET and Saturdays at 11am ET. We'll break down these games and look ahead to next week on our This Week in Fantasy Sports segment, Saturday morning at 11am ET.

Wild Card Weekend NFL Picks

PLAYOFF POSITIONAL RANKINGS

As we try to do every year, here are our rankings for the players in action this week.  I have left the players with a bye this week off of this list, so this is only for Wild Card participants.  The rankings are based on who I think will have the best performances this week against their competiton.  We will look back in next week’s post on how we did on these picks:

QUARTERBACK RANKINGS
1. Aaron Rodgers GBY
2. Andy Dalton CIN
3. Andrew Luck IND
4. Russell Wilson SEA
5. Robert Griffin III WSH
6. Matt Schaub HOU
7. Joe Flacco BAL
8. Christian Ponder MIN

QB notes: Griffin would be higher on the list, but his knee is supposedly still bothering him and may not have that multi-dimensional pass/rush attack he had earlier in the season.  For touchdown leagues, I would place Wilson ahead of Luck, but in our scoring system, which is more or less a 75/25 touchdown/yardage league, I would put Luck in front of Wilson.

RUNNING BACK RANKINGS
1. Adrian Peterson MIN
2. Arian Foster HOU
3. Marshawn Lynch SEA
4. Ray Rice BAL
5. Alfred Morris WSH
6. BenJarvis Green-Ellis CIN
7. Vick Ballard IND
8. Alex Green GBY
9. DuJuan Harris GBY

RB notes: Peterson has had amazing success against Green Bay, so he gets the edge over Foster.  The top five runners on this list will be the main cog in their respective offenses.  The wild card here is how Ray Rice will be used by Baltimore.  The offensive coordinator, former Colts Head Coach, Jim Caldwell, has only been in his job with the Ravens for a couple of weeks, but the idea was to give Rice the ball a lot more.  We will see.

WIDE RECEIVER RANKINGS
1. Jordy Nelson GBY
2. A.J. Green CIN
3. Andre Johnson HOU
4. James Jones GBY
5. T.Y. Hilton IND
6. Pierre Garcon WSH
7. Andrew Hawkins CIN
8. Kevin Walter HOU
9. Greg Jennings GBY
10. Torrey Smith BAL
11. Sidney Rice SEA
12. Santana Moss WSH
13. Reggie Wayne IND
14. Anquan Boldin BAL
15. Jarius Wright MIN
16. Golden Tate SEA
17. Michael Jenkins MIN

WR notes: Passing “attacks” are tough to call because of the fact that the quarterback has so many weapons and it depends on how things progress in-game.  Someone out of nowhere might have a 100-yard receiving game.  It takes you by surprise the same way it takes the defense by surprise.  You have seen it with the Saints in past years and you have also seen it with the Packers.  Will it be Nelson, Jones, Jennings, or someone else?

TIGHT ENDS RANKINGS
1. Owen Daniels HOU
2. Kyle Rudolph MIN
3. Dennis Pitta BAL
4. Dwayne Allen IND
5. Jermaine Gresham CIN
6. Jermichael Finley GBY
7. Anthony McCoy SEA
8. Logan Paulsen WSH

TE notes: Honestly, this is not a very strong class.  Two of the top four tight ends in the league did not make the playoffs (Jimmy Graham, Jason Witten) and the other two have a bye week (Rob Gronkowski, Tony Gonzalez).  Owen Daniels is the class of the group and Kyle Rudolph is emerging.

KICKER RANKINGS
1. Justin Tucker BAL
2. Blair Walsh MIN
3. Steven Hauschka SEA
4. Shayne Graham HOU
5. Kai Forbath WSH
6. Adam Vinatieri IND
7. Mason Crosby GBY
8. Josh Brown CIN

K notes: What constitutes a good kicker?  Good-but-not-great offenses?  Yes.  Good weather?  Absolutely.  Playoff experience?  Sure, but not as much as the other two.  My top two are rookies, Tucker and Walsh.  Vinatieri and Crosby have plenty of experience, but Vinatieri only hit on 79% of his field goals during the year (26-for-33) and Crosby has missed some easy ones.

DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS RANKINGS
1. Seattle Seahawks SEA
2. Cincinnati Bengals CIN
3. Houston Texans HOU
4. Baltimore Ravens BAL
5. Green Bay Packers GBY
6. Washington Redskins WSH
7. Minnesota Vikings MIN
8. Indianapolis Colts IND

DST notes: Hey, remember when the Ravens were dominant?  They are not dominant any more and they are not particularly great against the run or pass.  The Seahawks are the top unit in play this week and you can definitely make a strong case for Seattle having the top unit of the 12 playoff teams.  Only San Francisco may have something to say about it.

WILD CARD GAME PICKS


Cincinnati at Houston (-4) – Straight Up: Houston, Against the Spread: Houston
Houston defeated Cincinnati last year in the Wild Card round, 31-10, and I think it will happen again this time.  Things are different this time around because Houston does not have the dominating defense they had last year.  But, Arian Foster is the best player on the field last year when he ran for 153 yards and two touchdowns, and should also be the best player on the field this year.  A.J. Green needs to be a central part of the Bengals coming up with the upset.  Houston has been less than impressive recently, but I think they win and cover against the Bengals.

Predicted Score: HOU 24, CIN 10

Minnesota at Green Bay (-7.5) – Straight Up: Green Bay, Against the Spread: Minnesota
Adrian Peterson has owned Green Bay this year with 409 yards in two games.  Both of those games have been in the last six weeks, so these are not stale numbers.  Peterson has to be Public Enemy Number One for the Packers defense, which gets Charles Woodson back to help with the pass defense.  Christian Ponder is questionable for this game, which may pose an issue if he is unable to go because the Packers will stack the box even more if Ponder does not play.  I think Minnesota will keep it close with the Packers coming away with the slim win.

Predicted Score: GBY 27, MIN 23

Indianapolis at Baltimore (-7) – Straight Up: Baltimore, Against the Spread: Baltimore
The feel-good story of the Indianapolis Colts has had a wonderful shelf life.  Andrew Luck is a Rookie of the Year candidate and has led his team to an 11-5 record.  Luck has been great late, engineering several game-winning drives in the fourth quarter.  The feel-good story extends to the sidelines where Chuck Pagano’s battle with cancer brought the team closer together.  Bruce Arians is my Coach of the Year, going 9-3 in Pagano’s absence.  But, Baltimore has their own motivation, as Ray Lewis has announced this will be “his last ride”.  Since when do you need extra motivation in the playoffs?  I think the number is right on the mark, as I think the Ravens will win by a touchdown.  The Ravens have to make sure the Colts do not have the ball last, down by less than a touchdown.

Predicted Score: BAL 24, IND 16

Seattle at Washington (+3) – Straight Up: Seattle, Against the Spread: Seattle
Rookie quarterbacks are on both sidelines this week, so one rookie quarterback will definitely advance past the Wild Card round.  Russell Wilson has been hot recently, with his Seahawks offense putting up an average of 42.5 points over the last four weeks.  How healthy is RGIII?  Griffin burst on to the scene and had a great middle of the season, too.  But, since Griffin’s knee injury in Week 14, he has not been the same.  I think the defense will be the difference and the Seahawks have the best unit going.  Seattle is the lone road favorite this week and I think they get it done, winning a high-scoring game in Landover.

Predicted Score: SEA 34, WSH 28

NFL.com PLAYOFF CHALLENGE

We are participating in the NFL.com Playoff Challenge, using our weekly rankings to pick our teams.  This is a different game than the ESPN.com Gridiron Challenge in that you do not have to adhere to a salary cap.  You are picking the top players at each position (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 K, 1 DEF) and see how they score in the Wild Card games.  The points are cumulative and bye-week players can also qualify here and their points they score next week are doubled.  I am not picking any bye-week players in my lineup.

QB: Aaron Rodgers GBY (vs. MIN)
RB1: Adrian Peterson MIN (at GBY)
RB2: Arian Foster HOU (vs. CIN)
WR1: Jordy Nelson GBY (vs. MIN)
WR2: A.J. Green CIN (at HOU)
TE: Owen Daniels HOU (vs. CIN)
K: Justin Tucker BAL (vs. IND)
DEF: Seattle Seahawks SEA (at WSH)

Catch me on "Sports With The StatMan" on Wednesdays at 11pm ET and Saturdays at 11am ET. We'll break down these picks and look ahead to next week on our This Week in Fantasy Sports segment, Saturday morning at 11am ET.

2012 Regular Season NFL Picks Recap

KNOCKOUT POOL/ESPN.com ELIMINATOR CHALLENGE

The Patriots came through with a shutout in Week 17.  It helped that the Patriots were playing for a chance at a bye-week.  It also helped that the Dolphins were ready for the offseason.  A very good 16-1 season could have been an extraordinary undefeated season if the Eagles did not come back against the Buccaneers, but a 16-1 season is by far the best we have ever done.  We’ll try to get it right next year.

PAST PICKS
Week 1: Houston (W vs. MIA)
Week 2: N.Y. Giants (W vs. TBY)
Week 3: Chicago (W vs. STL)
Week 4: Baltimore (W vs. CLE)
Week 5: San Francisco (W vs. BUF)
Week 6: N.Y. Jets (W vs. IND)
Week 7: Minnesota (W vs. ARZ)
Week 8: Green Bay (W vs. JAX)
Week 9: Seattle (W vs. MIN)
Week 10: Pittsburgh (W vs. KCY)
Week 11: Dallas (W vs. CLE)
Week 12: Indianapolis (W vs. BUF)
Week 13: Denver (W vs TBY)
Week 14: Tampa Bay (L vs PHL)
Week 15: Miami (W vs JAX)
Week 16: Washington (W at PHL)
Week 17: New England (W vs. MIA)

GAME PICKS/ESPN.com PIGSKIN PICK ‘EM

The goals for game picks are to hit on at least half of all games against the spread and at least two-thirds of all games where you only pick the winners.  We picked very well in the three Big Games, the biggest games on the schedule which do not involve local teams.  We had some success picking the local games.  Overall, we just missed our two-thirds target on winners (.664 winning percentage) and we finished 13 games over .500 picking against the spread.

LOCAL GAMES: 39-21 straight up (.650), 30-29-1 against the spread (.508)

Last Week: 2-1 straight up, 2-1 against the spread
Season: 39-21 straight up, 30-29-1 against the spread

BIG GAMES: 38-14 straight up (.731), 30-22 against the spread (.577)

Last Week: 2-1 straight up, 1-2 against the spread
Season: 38-14 straight up, 30-22 against the spread

OTHER GAMES: 93-51 straight up (.646), 74-70 against the spread (.514)

Last Week: 8-2 straight up, 4-6 against the spread
Season: 93-51 straight up, 74-70 against the spread

START ‘EM/ANTI-START ‘EM/ESPN.com GRIDIRON CHALLENGE

We had a mixed season for our Start ‘Em/Anti-Start ‘Em competition.  We started terribly (1-5), had a nice streak in the middle (6-0-1), and finished so-so (2-2).  There were eight weeks where we crossed the 100-point barrier and six weeks where my Anti-Start team also finished with 100 points or more.  Overall, the 9-7-1 record was okay and in head-to-head categories, we finished a shade over .500 (.503).

Week 1: Head-to-Head – L, 107-124; By Position – 2-6-1
Week 2: Head-to-Head – L, 73-98; By Position – 3-6
Week 3: Head-to-Head – L, 103-139; By Position – 3-6
Week 4: Head-to-Head – L, 105-118; By Position – 4-5
Week 5: Head-to-Head – W, 110-56; By Position – 7-2
Week 6: Head-to-Head – L, 98-127; By Position – 2-6-1
Week 7: Head-to-Head – W, 119-80; By Position – 6-3
Week 8: Head-to-Head – T, 75-75; By Position – 3-5-1
Week 9: Head-to-Head – W, 138-105; By Position – 4-4-1
Week 10: Head-to-Head – W, 145-43; By Position – 9-0
Week 11: Head-to-Head – W, 100-65; By Position – 5-4
Week 12: Head-to-Head – W, 98-95; By Position – 5-4
Week 13: Head-to-Head – W, 92-81; By Position – 5-4
Week 14: Head-to-Head – L, 54-110; By Position – 1-6-2
Week 15: Head-to-Head – L, 75-91; By Position – 3-5-1
Week 16: Head-to-Head – W, 99-51; By Position – 5-4
Week 17: Head-to-Head – W, 86-63; By Position – 6-2-1
TOTALS: W-L: 9-7-1, PF: 1677, PA: 1511, By Position: 73-72-8 (.503)

Catch me on "Sports With The StatMan" on Wednesdays at 11pm ET and Saturdays at 11am ET. We'll break down these picks and look ahead to next week on our This Week in Fantasy Sports segment, Saturday morning at 11am ET.

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